This article is part of our MLB Betting series.
Previous article 3-1 +1.74
Overall 105-84-1 +4.54
If you read my article on Monday, do not get confused as several of the same picks and trends carry over for tonight. I do not go into as much detail in today's article because of the carryover but feel free to reference yesterday.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles 7:07 PM ET
I went with the Jays over 5.5 yesterday mostly because of how bad the Orioles bullpen is and it paid off. Chris Ellis pitched well for the Orioles for the first five innings and then the flood gates opened. Tonight, I think the Jays will get to Akin early and often and go over their team total of 5.5. Akin has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball with a 7.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.
BET – Blue Jays over 5.5 runs (-130 at BetMGM) for 1 RW buck
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies 8:05 PM ET
This total opened 9 and immediately went to 8.5. I would have loved to grab the 9 like yesterday but will settle for the 8.5 and follow the trends on the Rockies to go under their team total. The good thing about this team total with Gomber starting is the Rockies are favored so it bumps up their number.
BET – Rockies under 4.5 runs (-110) for 1 RW buck
Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 8:10 PM ET
The White Sox opened a huge favorite at -270 and moved to -350. I look for value when it comes to a huge favorite and a line move so in this case, we go with a F5 play. The Pirates are one of the lowest-scoring teams for F5 on the road at 1.77 per game and the White Sox only allow 1.84 runs per game F5 at home. The White Sox have been a top-3 team all year in runs scored F5 at home (3.5). I am projecting Giolito to only have allowed between 0 and 2 runs in the first five which means the White Sox have to score four runs to make this viable.
BET – White Sox -1.5 runs F5 (-115) for 1 RW buck
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves 10:10 PM ET
If you read my article yesterday, you saw the strong data on the Dodgers unders at home and we got another one last night. Tonight we get a better pitching matchup on both sides and the total is 8 vs. 8.5. I will continue the trend on going under tonight.
BET – Under 8 runs (-110) for 1 RW buck (This number has dropped to 7.5 in some spots already)